Jump to content

2025 Czech parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2025 Czech parliamentary election

← 2021 By October 2025

All 200 seats in the Chamber of Deputies
101 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Andrej Babiš v roce 2020 (cropped).jpg
Donald_Tusk_joined_various_leaders_in_Wrocław_for_recent_floods_in_Central_Europe_(7)_(cropped).jpg
Leader Andrej Babiš Petr Fiala Vít Rakušan
Party ANO ODS STAN
Alliance SPOLU
Last election 27.1%, 72 seats 27.8%, 71 seats 15.6%, 33 seats

 
Tomio Okamura portrét (cropped).jpg
Zdeněk_Hřib_(Nov_2024)_(cropped).jpg
1719413916595_20240626_KONECNA_Katerina_CZ_008.jpg
Leader Tomio Okamura Zdeněk Hřib Kateřina Konečná
Party SPD Pirates KSČM
Alliance Stačilo!
Last election 9.6%, 20 seats 15.6%, 4 seats
3.6%, 0 seats

Incumbent Prime Minister

Petr Fiala
ODS



Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025. All 200 members of the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic, the lower house of the Parliament, will be elected and the leader of the resultant government will become the Prime Minister.

Background

[edit]

The constitution of the Czech Republic stipulates that an election to the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Czech parliament, must be held every four years. The executive government is answerable to the Chamber of Deputies and remains in power only as long as it commands the confidence of the majority of its members. Article 19(1) of the constitution states that any citizen of the Czech Republic over the age of 21 years old is eligible to serve as a Member of Parliament.

The 2021 parliamentary elections saw the conservative alliance Spolu (consisting of the Civic Democratic Party (ODS), KDU-ČSL and TOP 09) finish first with 27.8% of the vote. ANO 2011 finished second and liberal alliance Pirates and Mayors third. Freedom and Direct Democracy was the only other party to win seats. Spolu formed a government with Pirates and Mayors with ODS leader Petr Fiala as Prime Minister.

Soon after the 2021 elections, the leader of the Mayors and Independents, Vít Rakušan, said that his party would run in the next elections as a single party rather than continue their alliance with the Pirate Party. According to internal Pirate Party analysis, the Mayors violated their joint agreement by asking their voters to give their candidates preference votes on the joint list, which resulted in just four Pirate MPs being elected.[1]

On 8 February 2023, Babiš announced he would limit his role within ANO 2011. He would remain as an MP and the leader of the party, while Karel Havlíček and Alena Schillerová would become the primary faces of the party, with Havlíček becoming leader of the shadow cabinet.[2][3] Babiš described Havlíček as a future prime minister of the Czech Republic.[4]

2024 elections and Pirates leaving the government

[edit]

2024 European Parliament election

[edit]

In the 2024 European Parliament election has seen loses for the ruling parties, as the Czech Pirate Party has lost two out of its three seats, and both the Civic Democrats and KDU-ČSL losing one MEP. TOP 09 retained both its mandates and Mayors and Independents gained one, resulting in a net loss of three seats for the ruling coalition.

However, these losses had not transferred into gains for the parliamentary opposition, with ANO gaining just one mandate compared to the previous election, and SPD losing one, just passing the threshold. Most of the gains was on the side of populist extra-parliamentary parties, with far-left Stačilo! and right-wing populist Přísaha and Motorists, whose leader Filip Turek has faced neo-nazism allegations just days before the election, both winning two MEPs. The election has also seen the worst result ever for the Social Democracy, which gained just 1.8% and remained deep under the threshold.[5][6]

2024 regional and senate elections
[edit]

The 2024 Czech regional elections had seen a near-total wipeout of the governmental Pirate Party, which managed to break the threshold in just 1 out of 13 contested regions and lost all but four councillors. This has lead to the resignation of the party leadership and calls for a new leader. The party members however appeared reluctant to the idea of leaving the Fiala cabinet.[7]

The election was also successful for the Stačilo! coalition, which scored in 12 out of 13 regions, winning 40 councillors.[8] Přísaha considered the election disappointing as it had failed to use the momentum from the EP election and had not earned any councillors.[9]

Pre-election composition

[edit]
Results by party[10][11]
Party Seats +/–
ANO 2011 71 –7
Civic Democratic Party 34 +9
Mayors and Independents 33 +27
KDU-ČSL 23 +13
Freedom and Direct Democracy 20 –2
TOP 09 14 +7
Czech Pirate Party 4 –18
Independents 1 +1

Opinion polls

[edit]

Party polling

[edit]
Local regression graph of polls conducted since the 2021 election by party

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "New Czech government set to sign coalition deal". IntelliNews. 7 November 2021.
  2. ^ Šamanová, Dáša. "Babiš se stahuje do pozadí, předsedou ANO a poslancem přitom zůstává". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 8 February 2023.
  3. ^ Kopecký, Josef (8 February 2023). "Babiš povede ANO v pozadí, vidět budou Schillerová a šéf stínové vlády Havlíček". iDNES.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 8 February 2023.
  4. ^ Leinert, Ondřej (9 June 2023). "Babiš: Moje poslední volby? Asi v roce 2025. Vláda ničí naši práci, Fiala to neřídí a Válek by se měl léčit". Hospodářské noviny (HN.cz) (in Czech). Retrieved 9 June 2023.
  5. ^ "Volby ovládlo hnutí ANO, největšími skokany jsou Motoristé s Přísahou". Seznam Zprávy (in Czech). 2024-06-09. Retrieved 2025-01-18.
  6. ^ "Eurovolby v Česku vyhrálo ANO. Pirátům může kvůli neúspěchu hrozit štěpení, míní odborníci". ct24.cz (in Czech). Czech Television. Czech Press Agency. Retrieved 2025-01-18.
  7. ^ "Piráti v regionech mají jasno. Bartoš musí skončit, z vlády se jim ale nechce". Seznam Zprávy (in Czech). 2024-09-22. Retrieved 2025-01-18.
  8. ^ "Stačilo! bodovalo v 11 krajích. A nemusí jít o konečný počet". Novinky.cz (in Czech). 2024-09-22. Retrieved 2025-01-18.
  9. ^ "Přísaha v krajích pohořela. Začínali jsme na nule, končíme na nule, říká Šlachta". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 2024-09-21. Retrieved 2025-01-18.
  10. ^ "Seznam Zvolenych Poslancu Strany SPOLU v KRAJÍCH - Predikce". e15.cz (in Czech). 9 October 2021. Retrieved 10 October 2021.
  11. ^ "Seznam Zvolenych Poslancu Strany PIRSTAN v KRAJÍCH - Predikce". e15.cz (in Czech). 9 October 2021. Retrieved 10 October 2021.