Next Bulgarian parliamentary election
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All 240 seats in the National Assembly 121 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria by 11 January 2029 following a succession of snap elections beginning amidst a political crisis that began in 2021.[1][2]
Opinion polls
[edit]The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data by excluding undecided and non-voters.
121 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority and all parties need to pass the 4% threshold to be elected to the National Assembly.
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB–SDS | PP–DB | Vaz | DPS–NN | BSP–OL | APS | ITN | MECh | Others | NOTA | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Research | 15–20 Jan 2025 | 1000 | 27.3 71 |
14.1 36 |
13.8 36 |
11.4 29 |
8.4 21 |
7.9 20 |
6.5 17 |
4.2 10 |
4.9 | –[a] | 13.2 | ||||
| 16 January 2025 | The Zhelyazkov Government is sworn in | ||||||||||||||||
| Gallup International | 8–12 Jan 2025 | 800 | 26.6 69 |
13.6 35 |
14.2 36 |
14.1 36 |
8.4 22 |
6.8 17 |
5.3 13 |
4.9 12 |
6.1[b] | –[a] | 12.4 | ||||
| Market Links | 12–20 Dec 2024 | 1,007 | 27.5 74 |
15.4 42 |
14.1 38 |
12.5 34 |
7.7 21 |
6.8 18 |
4.8 13 |
3.6 0 |
7.6 | 2.4[a] | 12.1 | ||||
| October 2024 election results | 27 Oct 2024 | — | 26.4 69 |
14.2 37 |
13.35 35 |
11.55 30 |
7.56 20 |
7.48 19 |
6.78 18 |
4.6 12 |
8.06 | –[c] | 12.2 | ||||
- ^ a b c This poll reported the percentage respondents that do not support any party, or are undecided however the data was recalculated to exclude these percentages.
- ^ Including Velichie with 3.6%.
- ^ In official election results, None of the above votes don’t count as a proportion of the total vote. In the October 2024 election, they reached a total number of 82,619 or approximately 3.3%, if measured proportionally.
References
[edit]- ^ "Bulgaria elections postponed as political crisis deepens". Politico. 19 August 2024. Retrieved 11 December 2024.
- ^ "Bulgarian parliament paralysed as political crisis drags on". Euractiv. 18 November 2024. Retrieved 11 December 2024.
