2010 United States Senate election in Colorado
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  Bennet: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Buck: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Colorado |
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The 2010 United States Senate election in Colorado took place on November 2, 2010, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. In December 2008, President-elect Barack Obama nominated incumbent U.S. Senator Ken Salazar as Secretary of the Interior.[1] After Salazar resigned from his seat,[2] Democratic governor Bill Ritter appointed Denver Public Schools Superintendent Michael Bennet to fill the seat.
Bennet won a full term, defeating former state House speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary, and Republican nominee Ken Buck in the general election.[3][4] With a margin of 1.7%, this election was the second closest race of the 2010 Senate election cycle after the concurrent one in Illinois.
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Michael Bennet, incumbent U.S. Senator[5]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Andrew Romanoff, former speaker of the Colorado House of Representatives[6][7]
Endorsements
[edit]Bennet
- President Barack Obama[8]
- U.S. Senator Russ Feingold
- Congresswoman Diana DeGette
- Congressman Ed Perlmutter
- Congresswoman Betsy Markey
- U.S. Senator Mark Udall
- Congressman Jared Polis
- Congressman John Salazar
- Former U.S. Senator Gary Hart
- Governor Bill Ritter
Romanoff
- Former president Bill Clinton[9]
Polling
[edit]| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Michael Bennet |
Andrew Romanoff |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Tarrance Group[10] | September 16–17, 2009 | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Public Policy Polling[11] | May 19, 2010 | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Survey USA[12] | June 15–17, 2010 | 53% | 36% | 11% |
| Survey USA[13] | August 1, 2010 | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling[14] | August 7–8, 2010 | 49% | 43% | 9% |
Results
[edit]
Bennet
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
Romanoff
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Michael Bennet (incumbent) | 184,714 | 54.15% | |
| Democratic | Andrew Romanoff | 156,419 | 45.85% | |
| Total votes | 341,133 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]Eliminated in convention
[edit]- Cleve Tidwell, businessman
- Robert Greenheck
- Steve Barton
Withdrew
[edit]- Tom Wiens, former state senator[19]
Declined
[edit]- Bob Beauprez, former U.S. Representative for Colorado's 7th congressional district[20]
- Troy Eid, U.S. Attorney for United States District Court for the District of Colorado[21]
- Ryan Frazier, Aurora city councilman[22]
Endorsements
[edit]Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing Ken Buck
- Jim DeMint, U.S. Senator[23]
- Erick Erickson, blogger[24]
- Tom Wiens, state senator[25]
Notable Individuals and Organizations endorsing Jane Norton
According to her website:[26][27]
- American Conservative Union
- Family Research Council
- Susan B. Anthony List
- Bill Owens, Governor
- Sarah Palin, former Governor
- William L. Armstrong, former U.S. Senator
- Hank Brown, former U.S. Senator
- Sam Brownback, U.S. Senator
- Tom Coburn, U.S. Senator
- Bob Beauprez, former U.S. Congressman
- John Suthers, State Attorney General
- Mark Hillman, former state treasurer
- Jan Brewer, Arizona Governor
- Wayne Allard, Former U.S. Senator
- Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator
- Josh Penry, state senator
- United States Chamber of Commerce[28]
Polling
[edit]| Poll Source | Dates Administered | Ken Buck |
Jane Norton |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Tarrance Group[29] | September 16–17, 2009 | 15% | 45% |
| Public Policy Polling[30] | March 3, 2010 | 17% | 34% |
| Magellan[31] | March 14, 2010 | 13% | 41% |
| Magellan[31] | April 19, 2010 | 32% | 29% |
| Public Policy Polling[11] | May 19, 2010 | 26% | 31% |
| Magellan[31] | June 8, 2010 | 42% | 32% |
| Survey USA[32] | June 15–17, 2010 | 53% | 37% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[33] | June 20–21, 2010 | 33% | 39% |
| Survey USA[13] | August 1, 2010 | 50% | 41% |
| Public Policy Polling[14] | August 7–8, 2010 | 43% | 45% |
Results
[edit]
Buck
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Norton
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Tie
- 50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ken Buck | 211,099 | 51.57% | |
| Republican | Jane Norton | 198,231 | 48.43% | |
| Total votes | 409,330 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- John Finger
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mac Stringer
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | Mac Stringer | 1,186 | 52.45% | |
| Libertarian | John Finger | 1,075 | 47.55% | |
| Total votes | 2,261 | 100.0% | ||
General election
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Major
[edit]- Michael Bennet (D), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Ken Buck (R), Weld County DA
Minor
[edit]- Bob Kinsey (G) (campaign site, archived November 4, 2010, PVS)
- Charley Miller (I) (campaign site, PVS)
- J. Moromisato (I) (campaign site, PVS)
- Jason Napolitano (I) (PVS)
- Mac Stringer (L) (campaign site Archived October 29, 2010, at the Wayback Machine, PVS)
- Bruce E. Lohmiller (G) (Write-in) (Congress.org)
- Michele M. Newman (I) (Write-in) ([1])
- Robert Rank (R) (Write-in) ([2][permanent dead link]) campaign site, ([3]) YouTube campaign video
Source: Official Candidate List[permanent dead link]
Campaign
[edit]This was one of the most expensive elections in the nation, as more than $30 million was spent by outside organizations.[35] Conservative third party groups hammered Bennet for voting 92% of the time with the Democratic leadership, including voting for healthcare reform and the stimulus package.[36] Liberal third party groups called Buck extremist. Bennet focused on attacking Buck's views on abortion, which he believed should be banned including those of cases of rape and incest. He was also attacked for wanting to eliminate the Seventeenth Amendment[37] and refusing to prosecute an alleged rapist as Weld County district attorney. Planned Parenthood mounted a mail campaign, targeting women voters with the warning that "Colorado women can't trust Ken Buck." Bennet won the women vote by 17 points according to exit polls. After the election, Buck conceded to the Denver Post that the main reason why he lost is because of social issues.[38]
Debates
[edit]- September 12: Sponsored by Club 20 in Grand Junction[39]
Predictions
[edit]| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[40] | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
| Inside Elections[41] | Tossup | October 22, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[42] | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[43] | Lean R (flip) | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[44] | Tossup | October 26, 2010 |
Polling
[edit]| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Michael Bennet (D) |
Ken Buck (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[45] | April 17–19, 2009 | 40% | 39% |
| Public Policy Polling[46] | August 14–16, 2009 | 39% | 35% |
| Rasmussen Reports[47] | September 9, 2009 | 43% | 37% |
| Rasmussen Reports[48] | December 8, 2009 | 38% | 42% |
| Daily Kos/Research 2000[49] | January 11–13, 2010 | 41% | 38% |
| Rasmussen Reports[50] | January 13, 2010 | 38% | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports[51] | February 2, 2010 | 41% | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports[52] | March 2, 2010 | 38% | 44% |
| Public Policy Polling[53] | March 5–8, 2010 | 47% | 40% |
| Rasmussen Reports[51] | April 5, 2010 | 40% | 44% |
| Rasmussen Reports[51] | May 3, 2010 | 41% | 48% |
| Public Policy Polling[54] | May 19, 2010 | 45% | 39% |
| Rasmussen Reports[55] | June 7, 2010 | 41% | 46% |
| Survey USA[32] | June 15–17, 2010 | 43% | 46% |
| Rasmussen Reports[56] | July 8, 2010 | 39% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports[57] | July 26, 2010 | 42% | 48% |
| Survey USA[58] | August 1, 2010 | 43% | 43% |
| Public Policy Polling[59] | August 10, 2010 | 46% | 43% |
| Rasmussen Reports[60] | August 11, 2010 | 41% | 46% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[61] | August 20–22, 2010 | 40% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports[62] | August 30, 2010 | 44% | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports[63] | September 14, 2010 | 45% | 49% |
| CNN/Time[64] | September 17–21, 2010 | 44% | 49% |
| Rasmussen Reports[60] | September 27, 2010 | 43% | 51% |
| Rasmussen Reports[65] | September 27, 2010 | 43% | 51% |
| McClatchy/Marist[66] | September 26–28, 2010 | 42% | 50% |
| Survey USA[67] | September 28–30, 2010 | 43% | 48% |
| Public Policy Polling[68] | September 30 – October 2, 2010 | 46% | 45% |
| Rasmussen Reports[60] | October 14, 2010 | 45% | 47% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research[69] | October 16, 2010 | 45% | 46% |
| Ipsos/Reuters[70] | October 18, 2010 | 45% | 48% |
| SurveyUSA[71] | October 19–21, 2010 | 47% | 47% |
| Public Policy Polling[72] | October 21–23, 2010 | 47% | 47% |
| Rasmussen Reports[60] | October 25, 2010 | 44% | 48% |
| CNN/Time/Opinion Research[73] | October 20–26, 2010 | 46% | 47% |
| Marist College[74] | October 26–28, 2010 | 45% | 49% |
| Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research[69] | October 30, 2010 | 46% | 50% |
| Public Policy Polling[75] | October 30–31, 2010 | 48% | 49% |
Fundraising
[edit]These totals reflect the campaign accounts of the candidates themselves, and do not include independent expenditures by other groups.
| Candidate (Party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash On Hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bennet (D) | $11,463,661 | $10,698,578 | $763,541 | $887,692 |
| Ken Buck (R) | $3,827,432 | $3,011,656 | $1,039,994 | $100,000 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[76] | ||||
Results
[edit]| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Michael Bennet (incumbent) | 854,685 | 48.08% | −3.22% | |
| Republican | Ken Buck | 824,789 | 46.40% | −0.13% | |
| Green | Bob Kinsey | 38,884 | 2.19% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Maclyn Stringer | 22,646 | 1.27% | +0.79% | |
| Independent | Jason Napolitano | 19,450 | 1.09% | N/A | |
| Independent | Charley Miller | 11,351 | 0.64% | N/A | |
| Independent | J. Moromisato | 5,780 | 0.33% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 83 | 0.07% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,777,668 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]- Garfield (largest municipality: Glenwood Springs)
- Bent (Largest city: Las Animas)
- Mineral (Largest city: Creede)
- Rio Grande (Largest city: Monte Vista)
- Archuleta (Largest city: Pagosa Springs)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ In January 2009, Bennet was appointed by Governor Bill Ritter to fill the vacancy caused by the resignation of Senator Ken Salazar, who had appointed Secretary of the Interior.
References
[edit]- ^ Osher, Christopher N.; Bunch, Joey (December 15, 2008). "Salazar poised to head Interior". Denver Post. Retrieved December 15, 2008.
- ^ "Ken Salazar Resigns From Senate". Associated Press. January 19, 2009. Archived from the original on January 22, 2009. Retrieved January 20, 2009.
- ^ Crummy, Karen (January 2, 2009). "Michael Bennet chosen as next Senator". Denver Post. Retrieved January 2, 2009.
- ^ Johnson, Kirk. "Michael Bennet News". The New York Times.
- ^ "Colorado's Bennet Needs to Get Better Known for 2010". CQ Politics. January 27, 2009. Archived from the original on March 9, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ "Who Will Face Bennet?". Roll Call. February 10, 2009. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ Riley, Michael (August 29, 2009). "Denver Post article on Andrew Romanoff". Denverpost.com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ Riley, Michael (September 17, 2009). "Sen. Bennet wins Obama's support". The Denver Post. Archived from the original on July 21, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ Burns, Alexander (June 29, 2010). "Clinton rocks Colo., backs Romanoff". Politico. Archived from the original on July 21, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ The Tarrance Group Archived July 8, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ a b Survey USA
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b "Colorado Primary Results". Politico. August 10, 2010. Retrieved August 11, 2010.
- ^ a b c d "State election results, 2010 (PDF)" (PDF). Colorado Secretary of State.
- ^ "The Buck starts here". Politico. April 27, 2009.
- ^ Bartels, Lynn (August 17, 2009). "Former Lt. Gov. Norton mulling U.S. Senate bid". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ "Denver Daily - Wiens, U.S. Senate candidate, drops out". Thedenverdailynews.com. May 25, 2010. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ "Beauprez not running for Senate - The Scorecard". Politico.Com. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ "Troy Eid to resign, run for Colorado attorney general". Coloradoindependent.com. January 8, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Fender, Jessica (October 14, 2009). "Aurora's Ryan Frazier has work cut out for him in shift to challenge U.S. Rep. Ed Perlmutter". The Denver Post. Retrieved June 14, 2010.
- ^ Eli Stokols (April 14, 2010). "Tea Party Endorsement: Tea Party idol DeMint endorses Buck in Colorado Senate race". KDVR. Archived from the original on July 16, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "DeMint on Buck endorsement: 'We've got to have an earthquake election'". Coloradoindependent.com. April 23, 2010. Archived from the original on April 17, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "CO US Senate - R Primary Race - August 10, 2010". Our Campaigns. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "Conservatives Rally Behind Norton". Janenortonforcolorado.com. May 24, 2010. Archived from the original on August 18, 2011. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ "CO US Senate - R Primary Race - August 10, 2010". Our Campaigns. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ^ Catanese, David (June 28, 2010). "Chamber comes to Norton's aid". Politico. Archived from the original on July 21, 2024. Retrieved July 21, 2024.
- ^ The Tarrance Group Archived July 8, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c Magellan
- ^ a b Survey USA
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ "Colorado - County Vote Results". ap.org. August 11, 2010. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
- ^ [CO] Colorado Election 2010 Results [SENATE UPDATE] | CNM News Network
- ^ Buck for Congress (campaign website)
- ^ Brady, Jeff (October 27, 2010). "Money Has Poured Into Colorado's Senate Race". npr.org. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
- ^ Burns, Alexander (November 13, 2010). "Abortion was winning issue for Dems". politico.com. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
- ^ Walter, Amy (September 12, 2010). "Buck and Bennet Trade Jabs In Feisty Colorado Senate Debate". abcnews.com. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
- ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Daily Kos/Research 2000
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ a b c Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b c d Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Ipsos/Reuters
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ CNN/Time
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ McClatchy/Marist
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ a b Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research
- ^ Ipsos/Reuters
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ CNN/Time/Opinion Research
- ^ Marist College
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Colorado". fec.gov. Retrieved August 12, 2010.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "State Cumulative Report". Archived from the original on November 29, 2010. Retrieved November 29, 2010.
- ^ "Colorado - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times". The New York Times. Retrieved August 3, 2016.
- ^ Gessler, Scott; Hobbs, William A.; Choate, Judd. "2010 Abstract of Votes Cast" (PDF). Office of Secretary of State - State of Colorado.
External links
[edit]- Colorado Secretary of State - Elections Center Archived July 1, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
- U.S. Congress candidates for Colorado at Project Vote Smart
- Colorado U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Colorado Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Colorado Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Colorado Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Colorado Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Collected news and commentary at Election 2010 at The Denver Post
Debate
- Colorado Senate Republican Primary Debate on C-SPAN, July 23, 2010
- Colorado Senate Debate on C-SPAN, September 11, 2010
Official campaign websites (Archived)
- Steven Barton for U.S. Senate
- Michael Bennet for U.S. Senate incumbent
- Ken Buck for U.S. Senate
- Gary Kennedy for U.S. Senate
- Bob Kinsey for U.S. Senate
- Vincent Martinez for U.S. Senate
- Jane Norton for U.S. Senate
- Andrew Romanoff for U.S. Senate
- Cleve Tidwell for U.S. Senate
- Tom Wiens for U.S. Senate
- Michele M. Newman for U.S. Senate
