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2018 Colorado Senate election

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2018 Colorado State Senate election

← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →

17 of the 35 seats in the Colorado Senate
18 seats needed for a majority
  Majority party Minority party
 
Leader Leroy Garcia Kevin Grantham
(term-limited)
Party Democratic Republican
Leader's seat District 3 District 2
Last election 17 18
Seats before 16 18
Seats won 19 16
Seat change Increase3 Decrease2
Popular vote 608,037 564,971
Percentage 50.3% 46.75%
Seats up 6 10
Races won 9 8

Results:
     Democratic gain
     Democratic hold      Republican hold
     No election

President of the Senate before election

Kevin Grantham
Republican

Elected President of the Senate

Leroy Garcia
Democratic

The 2018 Colorado State Senate elections took place as part of the biennial United States elections. Colorado voters elected state senators in 17 of the 35 districts in the state senate. State senators serve four-year terms in the Colorado State Senate. The Colorado Reapportionment Commission provides a statewide map of the state Senate here, and individual district maps are available from the U.S. Census here.

A primary election on June 26, 2018, determined which candidates appeared on the November 6 general election ballot. Primary election results can be obtained from the Colorado Secretary of State's website.[1]

Following the 2016 state Senate elections, Republicans maintained effective control of the Senate with 18 members. Democratic state Senator Cheri Jahn switched from Democrat to unaffiliated on December 29, 2017.[2] However, Sen. Jahn decided to still caucus with Democrats. In the 2018 election, Republicans defended 10 seats while Democrats defended 6 seats with Jahn's 1 Independent seat up for grabs.

To claim control of the chamber from Republicans, the Democrats needed to net 1 Senate seat while electing a Democrat to the Independent seat. The Democratic candidate won the Independent seat while Democrats netted 2 additional seats, giving the party majority status in the chamber. The results ultimately led to Democrats gaining a political trifecta for the first time since 2014.[3]

Background

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Heading to the 2018 elections, Republicans held a 1-seat majority in the Senate and sought to defend their very narrow majority in the election. Democrats have not held the state Senate since 2014 and aimed at flipping it to potentially achieve a political trifecta as Democrats were expected to retain control of the state House and gubernatorial nominee Jared Polis was considered the frontrunner heading up to the polls.[4][5]

Five Senate seats were considered vital to determine the political balance of the Senate and even the political outlook of the state. Democratic women dubbed the "Fab Five" were running to defend or win these five competitive districts. Incumbent Republicans Tim Neville and Beth Humenik were seen as the most vulnerable as both narrowly won their races in 2014 and they represented districts in where Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton won in 2016.[4][5]

Summary of Results

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  • Districts not shown are not up for election until 2020.
District Incumbent Party Elected Senator Party
1st Jerry Sonnenberg Rep Jerry Sonnenberg Rep
2nd Kevin Grantham Rep Dennis Hisey Rep
3rd Leroy Garcia Dem Leroy Garcia Dem
5th Kerry Donovan Dem Kerry Donovan Dem
6th Don Coram Rep Don Coram Rep
7th Ray Scott Rep Ray Scott Rep
9th Kent Lambert Rep Paul Lundeen Rep
11th Michael Merrifield Dem Pete Lee Dem
13th John Cooke Rep John Cooke Rep
15th Kevin Lundberg Rep Rob Woodward Rep
16th Tim Neville Rep Tammy Story Dem
20th Cheri Jahn Ind Jessie Danielson Dem
22nd Andy Kerr Dem Brittany Pettersen Dem
24th Beth Martinez Humenik Rep Faith Winter Dem
30th Chris Holbert Rep Chris Holbert Rep
32nd Irene Aguilar Dem Robert Rodriguez Dem
34th Lucía Guzmán Dem Julie Gonzales Dem

Source:[6][7]

Incumbents not seeking re-election

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Term-limited incumbents

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Seven incumbent senators (three Democrats, three Republicans and one independent) are term-limited and unable to seek a third term.

Retiring incumbents

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One incumbent Democrat is not seeking re-election despite being able to do so.

Closest races

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Seats where the margin of victory was under 10%:

  1. District 15, 6.18%
  2. District 6, 9.38%

Detailed results

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District 1District 2District 3District 5District 6District 7District 9District 11District 13District 15District 16District 20District 22District 24District 30District 32District 34

Sources:[6][8]

District 1

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Debra Gustafson 5,523 100.0
Total votes 5,523 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerry Sonnenberg (incumbent) 23,879 100.0
Total votes 23,879 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 1st District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jerry Sonnenberg (incumbent) 52,311 79.01
Democratic Debra Gustafson 13,894 20.99
Total votes 66,205 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beth "Hart" Harz 6,813 74.09
Democratic Dennis Obduskey 2,383 25.91
Total votes 9,196 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dennis Hisey 12,818 57.95
Republican Stephanie Luck 9,302 42.05
Total votes 22,120 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 2nd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dennis Hisey 42,531 65.32
Democratic Beth "Hart" Harz 22,583 34.68
Total votes 65,114 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Leroy M. Garcia (incumbent) 15,423 100.0
Total votes 15,423 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 3rd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Leroy M. Garcia (incumbent) 39,768 73.62
Libertarian John Pickerill 14,253 26.38
Total votes 54,021 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kerry Donovan (incumbent) 13,707 100.0
Total votes 13,707 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Olen Lund 9,796 100.0
Total votes 9,796 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 5th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kerry Donovan (incumbent) 41,838 60.45
Republican Olen Lund 27,375 39.55
Total votes 69,213 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

[edit]
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Coram (incumbent) 14,893 100.0
Total votes 14,893 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Guinn Unger, Jr. 11,392 100.0
Total votes 11,392 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 6th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Coram (incumbent) 40,088 54.69
Democratic Guinn Unger, Jr. 33,208 45.31
Total votes 73,296 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Kennedy 8,996 100.0
Total votes 8,996 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ray Scott (incumbent) 14,361 64.07
Republican Dan Thurlow 8,054 35.93
Total votes 22,415 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 7th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ray Scott (incumbent) 42,327 63.62
Democratic Chris Kennedy 24,205 36.38
Total votes 66,532 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gil Armendariz 9,751 100.0
Total votes 9,751 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Lundeen 26,206 100.0
Total votes 26,206 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 9th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Lundeen 61,341 70.32
Democratic Gil Armendariz 25,892 29.68
Total votes 87,233 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pete Lee 10,499 100.0
Total votes 10,499 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat McIntire 7,580 100.0
Total votes 7,580 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 11th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pete Lee 28,015 61.96
Republican Pat McIntire 17,200 38.04
Total votes 45,215 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

[edit]
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cooke (incumbent) 10,763 100.0
Total votes 10,763 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Phil Kelley 7,667 100.0
Total votes 7,667 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 13th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Cooke (incumbent) 33,026 58.71
Democratic Phil Kelley 21,453 38.14
Libertarian Eric E. Joss 1,776 3.16
Total votes 56,255 100.0
Republican hold

District 15

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Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rebecca Cranston 14,699 100.0
Total votes 14,699 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Woodward 16,023 100.0
Total votes 16,023 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 15th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Woodward 44,434 53.09
Democratic Rebecca Cranston 39,256 46.91
Total votes 83,690 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

[edit]
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tim Neville (incumbent) 12,996 100.0
Total votes 12,996 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Story 18,424 100.0
Total votes 18,424 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 16th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Story 47,403 55.67
Republican Tim Neville (incumbent) 35,154 41.28
Libertarian James Gilman 2,597 3.05
Total votes 85,154 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 20

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Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jessie Danielson 19,778 100.0
Total votes 19,778 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Christine Jensen 13,821 100.0
Total votes 13,821 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 20th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jessie Danielson 49,974 54.13
Republican Christine Jensen 39,102 42.36
Libertarian Charles Messick 3,239 3.51
Total votes 92,315 100.0
Democratic gain from Independent

District 22

[edit]
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brittany Pettersen 16,066 100.0
Total votes 16,066 100.0
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tony Sanchez 11,440 100.0
Total votes 11,440 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 22nd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brittany Pettersen 42,747 58.16
Republican Tony Sanchez 30,754 41.84
Total votes 73,501 100.0
Democratic hold

District 24

[edit]
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Beth Martinez Humenik (incumbent) 9,401 100.0
Total votes 9,401 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Faith Winter 14,313 100.0
Total votes 14,313 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 24th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Faith Winter 35,578 52.32
Republican Beth Martinez Humenik (incumbent) 27,068 39.80
Independent Adam Matkowsky 3,328 4.89
Libertarian Donald Osborn 2,033 2.99
Total votes 68,007 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 30

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Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Holbert (incumbent) 15,342 100.0
Total votes 15,342 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Julia Varnell-Sarjeant 12,031 100.0
Total votes 12,031 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 30th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Holbert (incumbent) 43,948 52.78
Democratic Julia Varnell-Sarjeant 34,604 41.56
Independent Steve Peterson 4,710 5.66
Total votes 83,262 100.0
Republican hold

District 32

[edit]
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Calonder 5,561 100.0
Total votes 5,561 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert Rodriguez 10,636 39.82
Democratic Zach Neumann 8,616 32.26
Democratic Hazel Gibson 7,458 27.92
Total votes 26,710 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 32nd District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert Rodriguez 53,307 71.99
Republican Mark Calonder 17,294 23.36
Independent Peter Lucas Smith 3,446 4.65
Total votes 74,047 100.0
Democratic hold

District 34

[edit]
Republican Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gordon Alley 2,777 100.0
Total votes 2,777 100.0
Democratic Primary
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Julie Gonzales 14,798 63.80
Democratic Milo Schwab 4,574 19.72
Democratic Alan Kennedy-Shaffer 3,821 16.47
Total votes 23,193 100.0
2018 Colorado Senate election, 34th District
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Julie Gonzales 54,312 83.13
Republican Gordon Alley 11,018 16.87
Total votes 65,330 100.0
Democratic hold

Analysis

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Democrats handily flipped the state Senate by significantly outperforming their margins compared to 2016 and 2014. Most of the votes that led to the Senate flipping was due to the outsized margins Democratic candidates received throughout the Front Range and ski counties.[3] Independent voters (the largest share of the electorate) along with women voters, younger voters, and suburban voters, helped propel Democrats to victory in many races.[9] Races that were considered competitive but eventually won by the so-called "Fab Five" including Faith Winter, Jessie Danielson, Tammy Story, Kerry Donovan and Brittany Petersen were won by relatively large margins.[10][11] Due to Democrats flipping the Senate, they were able to gain a political trifecta as Democrats expanded their majorities in the state House and won all statewide races, including for governor.[10]

The results in the Senate and other elections throughout 2018 were called by observers a "blue wave" in which Democrats made historic gains in Colorado.[12][9]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "June 26, 2018 Primary Election Official Results". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved September 1, 2018.
  2. ^ "Senator Cheri Jahn switches party". December 29, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2018.
  3. ^ a b Fish, Sandra (November 7, 2018). "Mapping the 2018 vote: Blue Colorado gets bluer and the divide remains". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  4. ^ a b "Colorado's political future comes down to five Senate districts, and money is rushing in". The Denver Post. September 27, 2018. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  5. ^ a b Chávez, Aída (October 30, 2018). "Total Democratic Control of Colorado Comes Down to Five Women". The Intercept. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  6. ^ a b "Colorado State Senate elections, 2018". Ballotpedia. Retrieved September 1, 2018.
  7. ^ Colorado Secretary of State. "Election Results & Data (Unofficial)". www.sos.state.co.us. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
  8. ^ "June 26, 2018 Primary Election Official Results". Colorado Secretary of State. Retrieved September 1, 2018.
  9. ^ a b Weatherman, Lisa (November 7, 2018). "A Blue Wave Crashes Into Colorado in the 2018 Midterms". 5280. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  10. ^ a b Herrick, John (November 7, 2018). "Democrats take the Colorado Senate". The Colorado Independent. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  11. ^ Roberts, Michael. "Colorado Legislature Election Results 2018: Dems Win House and Senate". Westword. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
  12. ^ Roberts, Michael. "Colorado Election Results 2018: Polis, the Blue Wave and the Power of TABOR". Westword. Retrieved September 8, 2023.