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2017 Queensland state election

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2017 Queensland state election
← 2015 25 November 2017 2020 →
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland
47 Assembly seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout87.52 (Decrease 2.37 pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Annastacia Palaszczuk Tim Nicholls Robbie Katter
Party Labor Liberal National Katter's Australian
Leader since 28 March 2012 (2012-03-28) 6 May 2016 (2016-05-06) 2 February 2015 (2015-02-02)
Leader's seat Inala Clayfield Traeger
Last election 44 seats, 37.47% 42 seats, 41.32% 2 seats, 1.93%
Seats before 41 41 2
Seats won 48 39 3
Seat change Increase 7 Decrease 2 Increase 1
Popular vote 957,890 911,019 62,613
Percentage 35.43% 33.69% 2.32%
Swing Decrease 2.05 Decrease 7.63 Increase 0.39
TPP 51.3% 48.7%
TPP swing Increase 0.2 Decrease 0.2
  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Leader Steve Dickson No leader
Party One Nation Greens
Leader since 23 January 2017 (2017-01-23)
Leader's seat Buderim
(lost seat)
Last election 0 seats, 0.92% 0 seats, 8.43%
Seats before 1 0
Seats won 1 1
Seat change Steady Increase 1
Popular vote 371,193 270,263
Percentage 13.73% 10.00%
Swing Increase 12.81 Increase 1.57
Winning margin by electorate.
Premier before election

Annastacia Palaszczuk
Labor

Elected Premier

Annastacia Palaszczuk
Labor

The 2017 Queensland state election was held on 25 November 2017 to elect all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of Queensland, the unicameral Parliament of Queensland.[1][2]

The first-term incumbent Labor government, led by Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk, won a second term in government. They were challenged by the Liberal National opposition, led by Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls and minor parties One Nation, Katter's Australian Party and the Greens. The 2015 election outcome had delivered a hung parliament with 44 seats to the Labor opposition, 42 seats to the one-term Liberal National government, and three to the crossbench including two to Katter's Australian Party. Just one seat short of majority government, Labor was able to form minority government with confidence and supply support from sole independent MP Peter Wellington, who otherwise retained the right to vote on conscience. During the parliamentary term, Labor MPs Billy Gordon and Rob Pyne became independent MPs, however they both indicated they would provide confidence and supply support for the government.[3][4]

The day after the election, ABC election analyst Antony Green predicted that Labor would win up to 48 seats and was likely to form government in its own right.[5] By 6 December, several news agencies reported that Labor had won a majority of seats in the Parliament.[6][7][8]

With the redistribution increasing the size of parliament from 89 seats to 93 seats, Labor increased its representation by a net seven seats to a total of 48 seats, an increase of four since the last election and a notional increase of one since the redistribution, allowing it to form government in its own right by two seats. The Liberal National opposition decreased their representation by a net three seats to a total of 39 seats, a decrease of two seats since the last election and a notional decrease of five since the redistribution. On the crossbench, Katter's Australian Party won three seats, an increase of one since the last election and a notional increase of two since the redistribution, one new independent candidate won a seat while all the incumbent independents lost their seats. One Nation won its first seat since 2009 and the Greens won a seat at a state election for the first time.[9]

Despite a small two-party swing to Labor statewide and Labor increasing its seat total, a number of regional seats notably swung to the Coalition. The LNP regained the seat of Bundaberg from Labor as well as Burdekin which was held by the LNP prior to the election but made notionally Labor due to redistribution.

On 8 December 2017, Opposition Leader Tim Nicholls conceded defeat and announced he would step down as leader of the party.[10] Later that day, Palaszczuk visited Government House and was invited to form a majority government by the Governor.[11] The Second Palaszczuk Ministry was subsequently sworn in by the Governor on 12 December 2017.[12] This marked the tenth time in the last eleven elections that Queensland Labor has won government; it won eight consecutive election victories from 1989 to 2009, and was only out of government from 1996 to 1998 when Labor lost its parliamentary majority as well as from 2012 to 2015 following the Liberal National Party's 2012 landslide win.

Background

[edit]

Previous election

[edit]
See also: Post-election pendulum for the 2015 Queensland state election

At the 2015 election, Labor won 44 seats, the most of all parties, but short by one of commanding a majority in the Legislative Assembly. The Liberal National Party, despite winning a record majority of 78 at the previous election, won 42 seats. Katter's Australian Party won two seats, and the independent member for Nicklin, Wellington, retained his seat.[13]

Wellington gave confidence and supply support to Labor to form government, giving it the majority of 45 out of 89 seats in parliament, and consequently the previous Liberal National government under the leadership of Campbell Newman, who lost his seat of Ashgrove, lost office after one term.

Calling of election

[edit]

After Labor's retraction of endorsement for MP Rick Williams on 27 October 2017, the party's seat count dropped to 41, equalling that of the LNP. Several media sources reported that Premier Palaszczuk would call a snap election.[14][15] On 29 October Palaszczuk asked the Acting Governor Catherine Holmes to dissolve parliament and a writ was issued for a 25 November state election.[16][17]

Key dates

[edit]
Date Event
29 October 2017 Writ of election issued by the Acting Governor[18]
3 November 2017 Close of electoral rolls
7 November 2017 Close of nominations
25 November 2017 Polling day, between the hours of 8 am and 6 pm
5 December 2017 Cut off for the return of postal ballot papers
8 December 2017 Election results declared and writ returned
12 December 2017 Second Palaszczuk Ministry sworn in
13 February 2018 56th Parliament convened

Electoral system

[edit]

Queensland elected its members using Instant-runoff voting.[19]

Amendments to electoral laws increased the number of seats by four from 89 to 93, necessitating the redrawing of district boundaries, and changed the optional preferential voting system to compulsory full-preferential voting.[20]

A 2016 referendum also replaced the state's unfixed maximum three-year terms with fixed four-year terms, but these would not apply until the 2020 election.[21][22]

Electoral redistribution

[edit]

A redistribution of electoral boundaries occurred earlier in 2017.

The electorates of Albert, Ashgrove, Beaudesert, Brisbane Central, Cleveland, Dalrymple, Indooroopilly, Kallangur, Mount Coot-tha, Mount Isa, Sunnybank, and Yeerongpilly were abolished.

The electorates of Bancroft, Bonney, Cooper, Hill, Jordan, Kurwongbah, Macalister, Maiwar, McConnel, Miller, Ninderry, Oodgeroo, Scenic Rim, Theodore, Toohey, and Traeger were created.

The Legislative Assembly was expanded from 89 to 93 members. Indooroopilly was abolished west of Brisbane, while Bancroft was created in the corridor north of Brisbane, Bonney created on the Gold Coast, Jordan created in the corridor west of Brisbane, Macalister created in the corridor south of Brisbane, and Ninderry created on the Sunshine Coast. Albert was renamed Theodore, Ashgrove was renamed Cooper, Beaudesert was renamed Scenic Rim, Brisbane Central was renamed McConnel, Cleveland was renamed Oodgeroo, Dalrymple was renamed Hill, Kallangur was renamed Kurwongbah, Mount Coot-tha was renamed Maiwar, Mount Isa was renamed Traeger, Sunnybank was renamed Toohey, and Yeerongpilly was renamed Miller. Burdekin, Mansfield, and Mount Ommaney became notionally Labor-held, while Pumicestone became notionally Liberal National-held.

The changes resulted in 48 notionally Labor-held seats, 2 notionally Katter's Australian-held seats, 42 notionally Liberal National-held seats, and 1 notionally Independent-held seat.

Retiring members

[edit]

Labor

[edit]

Liberal National

[edit]

Independent

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Main articles: Results of the 2017 Queensland state election; Post-election pendulum for the 2017 Queensland state election; and Members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly, 2017–2020
Winning party by electorate.
Results of the 2017 Queensland state election, Legislative Assembly[30][8]
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Labor957,89035.43–2.0548+4
Liberal National911,01933.69–7.6339+3
One Nation371,19313.73+12.811+1
Greens270,26310.00+1.571+1
Katter's Australian62,6132.32+0.393+1
Consumer Rights7,1670.27+0.270±0
Independents123,7964.58+0.951±0
Total2,703,941100.00–93–
Valid votes2,703,94195.66
Invalid/blank votes122,6724.34+2.23
Total votes2,826,613100.00–
Registered voters/turnout3,229,53687.52–2.37

Independent: Sandy Bolton (Noosa)

Popular vote
Labor
 
 35.43%
LNP
 
 33.69%
One Nation
 
 13.73%
Greens
 
 10.00%
Katter's
 
 2.32%
Independents
 
 4.58%
Other
 
 0.12%
Two-party preferred vote
Labor
 
 51.2%
LNP
 
 48.8%
Seats summary
Labor
 
 51.61%
LNP
 
 41.94%
Katter's
 
 3.23%
One Nation
 
 1.08%
Greens
 
 1.08%
Independents
 
 1.08%

Seats changing hands

[edit]
Seat 2017 Redistribution Swing 2017 Election[31]
Party Member Margin Margin Member Party
Aspley   Liberal National Tracy Davis 3.20 –4.37 1.17 Bart Mellish Labor  
Bundaberg Labor Leanne Donaldson 0.50 –4.70 4.20 David Batt Liberal National  
Burdekin Labor notional 1.40 –2.20 0.80 Dale Last Liberal National  
Gaven   Liberal National Sid Cramp 2.80 –3.51 0.71 Meaghan Scanlon Labor  
Hinchinbrook   Liberal National Andrew Cripps 3.40 –10.95 7.55 Nick Dametto Katter's Australian
Maiwar   Liberal National Scott Emerson 3.00 –4.63 1.63 Michael Berkman Greens
Mirani   Labor Jim Pearce 3.80 –8.62 4.82 Stephen Andrew One Nation  
Nicklin   Independent Peter Wellington 4.10 –19.38 5.28 Marty Hunt Liberal National  
Noosa   Liberal National Glen Elmes 6.60 –18.13 11.53 Sandy Bolton Independent  
Redlands   Liberal National Matt McEachan 1.20 –4.26 3.06 Kim Richards Labor  
  • Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
  • The Labor Party also retained the seat of Cairns, where the sitting Labor member had resigned and contested the election as an Independent, and the seat of Cook, where the sitting Labor member was expelled and sat as an Independent.
  • The Liberal National Party also retained the seat of Buderim, where the sitting Liberal National member had resigned and contested the election as a member of the One Nation Party, and the seat of Pumicestone, which had a notional Liberal National margin.

Post-election pendulum

[edit]
Government seats
Marginal
Townsville Scott Stewart ALP 0.38%
Gaven Meaghan Scanlon ALP 0.71%
Mundingburra Coralee O'Rourke ALP 1.13%
Aspley Bart Mellish ALP 1.17%
Mansfield Corrine McMillan ALP 1.62%
Barron River Craig Crawford ALP 1.86%
Maryborough Bruce Saunders ALP 2.46% v ONP
Redlands Kim Richards ALP 3.06%
Keppel Brittany Lauga ALP 3.14% v ONP
Cairns Michael Healy ALP 3.39%
South Brisbane Jackie Trad ALP 3.55% v GRN
Springwood Mick de Brenni ALP 3.59%
Thuringowa Aaron Harper ALP 4.15% v ONP
Ferny Grove Mark Furner ALP 4.63%
Redcliffe Yvette D'Ath ALP 4.86%
Rockhampton Barry O'Rourke ALP 5.19% v ONP
Mount Ommaney Jess Pugh ALP 5.76%
Cook Cynthia Lui ALP 5.84% v ONP
Fairly Safe
Pine Rivers Nikki Boyd ALP 6.19%
Bancroft Chris Whiting ALP 6.21%
Logan Linus Power ALP 6.83% v ONP
Kurwongbah Shane King ALP 6.99%
Macalister Melissa McMahon ALP 7.45%
McConnel Grace Grace ALP 7.86%
Capalaba Don Brown ALP 7.86%
Miller Mark Bailey ALP 8.18%
Mackay Julieanne Gilbert ALP 8.34%
Ipswich West Jim Madden ALP 8.72 v ONP
Morayfield Mark Ryan ALP 8.72% v ONP
Murrumba Steven Miles ALP 9.52%
Jordan Charis Mullen ALP 9.91% v ONP
Stretton Duncan Pegg ALP 9.89%
Safe
Toohey Peter Russo ALP 10.01%
Greenslopes Joe Kelly ALP 10.13%
Cooper Kate Jones ALP 10.65%
Waterford Shannon Fentiman ALP 10.75% v ONP
Bulimba Di Farmer ALP 10.78%
Ipswich Jennifer Howard ALP 10.89% v ONP
Mulgrave Curtis Pitt ALP 10.92%
Lytton Joan Pease ALP 12.02%
Stafford Anthony Lynham ALP 12.10%
Sandgate Stirling Hinchliffe ALP 13.48%
Nudgee Leanne Linard ALP 14.32%
Algester Leeanne Enoch ALP 14.43%
Very Safe
Gladstone Glenn Butcher ALP 20.70% v ONP
Bundamba Jo-Ann Miller ALP 21.55%
Inala Annastacia Palaszczuk ALP 26.09%
Woodridge Cameron Dick ALP 26.37%
Non-Government seats
Marginal
Whitsunday Jason Costigan LNP 0.68%
Burdekin Dale Last LNP 0.80%
Pumicestone Simone Wilson LNP 0.84%
Bonney Sam O'Connor LNP 2.18%
Clayfield Tim Nicholls LNP 2.41%
Chatsworth Steve Minnikin LNP 2.90%
Currumbin Jann Stuckey LNP 3.31%
Caloundra Mark McArdle LNP 3.41%
Glass House Andrew Powell LNP 3.43%
Coomera Michael Crandon LNP 3.47%
Theodore Mark Boothman LNP 3.72%
Lockyer Jim McDonald LNP 4.07% v ONP
Bundaberg David Batt LNP 4.20%
Burleigh Michael Hart LNP 4.85%
Everton Tim Mander LNP 4.94%
Moggill Christian Rowan LNP 5.03%
Nicklin Marty Hunt LNP 5.28%
Toowoomba North Trevor Watts LNP 5.72%
Fairly Safe
Callide Colin Boyce LNP 6.11% v ONP
Mermaid Beach Ray Stevens LNP 6.26%
Southport Rob Molhoek LNP 7.24%
Oodgeroo Mark Robinson LNP 7.24%
Ninderry Dan Purdie LNP 8.38%
Maroochydore Fiona Simpson LNP 8.52%
Gympie Tony Perrett LNP 8.68% v ONP
Hervey Bay Ted Sorensen LNP 9.10%
Warrego Ann Leahy LNP 9.46% v KAP
Mudgeeraba Ros Bates LNP 9.85%
Toowoomba South David Janetzki LNP 9.98%
Safe
Burnett Stephen Bennett LNP 10.65%
Condamine Pat Weir LNP 10.71% v ONP
Buderim Brent Mickelberg LNP 11.41%
Southern Downs James Lister LNP 13.03% v ONP
Kawana Jarrod Bleijie LNP 13.07%
Scenic Rim Jon Krause LNP 13.12% v ONP
Nanango Deb Frecklington LNP 13.36% v ONP
Gregory Lachlan Millar LNP 13.94% v ONP
Broadwater David Crisafulli LNP 17.98
Surfers Paradise John-Paul Langbroek LNP 19.78
Crossbench seats
Maiwar Michael Berkman GRN 1.63% v LNP
Mirani Stephen Andrew ONP 4.82% v ALP
Hinchinbrook Nick Dametto KAP 7.55% v LNP
Noosa Sandy Bolton IND 11.53% v LNP
Hill Shane Knuth KAP 19.75% v ALP
Traeger Robbie Katter KAP 28.49% v ALP

Subsequent changes

[edit]

Milestones

[edit]

This election resulted in a number of historical milestones being achieved for the representation in the Queensland Parliament. These include:

Political donations

[edit]

Prior to the election, the Shooting Industry Foundation of Australia used $550,000 to launch an advertising campaign, named Flick'em, in an effort to urge voters to put both major parties last in ballot paper preferences. This campaign boosted votes for Pauline Hanson's One Nation and the Katter's Australian Party and achieved lowest major party votes in QLD history.[36]

The Firearm Owners United which is a new gun rights group which also in 2017 made its first financial contribution to a campaign during the Queensland state election, donating $1,000 to Pauline Hanson's One Nation party and Katter's Australian Party.[37]

Date

[edit]

Following the successful 2016 referendum to introduce four-year fixed-term elections, this was the last Queensland election where the date of the election could be chosen at the serving Premier's discretion.[38]

Section 84 of the Electoral Act 1992 stated that an election must be held on a Saturday, and that the election campaign must run for a minimum of 26 or a maximum of 56 days following the issue of the writs including the day the writ drops and polling day. Five to seven days following the issue of the writs, the electoral roll is to be closed, which gives voters a final opportunity to enrol or to notify the Electoral Commission of Queensland of any changes in their place of residence.[39]

The Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015,[40] which amended the Constitution of Queensland to provide for state elections on the fourth Saturday in October every four years, did not come into effect until the 2020 election. Therefore, this was the last election to which section 2 of the Constitution Act Amendment Act 1890 applied before its repeal.[41] It provided that the Legislative Assembly continues for no more than three years from the day set for the return of writs for the previous election, after which time the Legislative Assembly expires.[42]

The day set for the return of writs for the 2015 election was 16 February 2015, but the deadline appointed in the writ for its return was Wednesday 11 March 2015.[21][43] The Electoral Act requires the Governor to issue writs for a general election no more than four days after the Legislative Assembly is dissolved or expires.[39]: §78(2)  The last possible day for the next election was therefore a Saturday not more than 56 days beyond four days after the expiry of the Legislative Assembly on 11 March 2018, namely 5 May 2018.[21][38]

Palaszczuk faced constant media questions during 2017 about whether she would call an early election.[38][44] She stated that it was her intention to hold it in 2018, and that it would take something "extraordinary" for it to be held in 2017. Following Agriculture Minister Bill Byrne's resignation on health grounds and the disendorsement of Pumicestone MP Rick Williams,[45] on Sunday 29 October 2017, she announced the election would be held on 25 November 2017.[46] Pauline Hanson described this as a "cowardly" move, given that she was overseas on a federal parliamentary trip and would be delayed in starting her One Nation party's campaign.[46]

As the election was held in 2017, this meant that the fixed date for the next state election was on 31 October 2020.[21] Had the election instead been held in 2018, the next fixed election date would have been 30 October 2021.[21]

Contesting parties

[edit]
See also: Candidates of the 2017 Queensland state election

The ALP's Queensland branch and the LNP are two of six parties registered with the Electoral Commission of Queensland by October 2017, alongside the Queensland Greens, the Queensland division of Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Katter's Australian Party, and Civil Liberties, Consumer Rights, No-Tolls.[47] Queensland's two-party dominance was threatened by the resurgence of One Nation, given former LNP MP Steve Dickson's defection to become One Nation's state leader in January 2017 and the high-profile candidacy of recently disqualified Senator Malcolm Roberts,[48] and the record strength of the Greens in several urban seats bolstered by Brisbane's first Green councillor Jonathan Sriranganathan (then known as Sri) being elected in 2016.[49]

In January 2017, One Nation disendorsed its Bundamba candidate Shan Ju Lin after her anti-gay social media post. Lin accused James Ashby of deciding on Hanson's behalf that Lin should be disendorsed.[50] In December 2016, Andy Semple withdrew as a candidate for Currumbin, after the party told him to delete an LGBT joke on Twitter.[51]

One Nation dumped a further 6 candidates.[52]

Preferences

[edit]

The ALP and The Greens pledged to place One Nation candidates last on their respective party How-To-Vote cards. Both parties also placed each other ahead of the LNP on their cards. Katter's Australia Party exchanged preferences with One Nation in the seats they both contested. The LNP placed Greens candidates below ALP candidates, and placed One Nation candidates ahead of the ALP in 52 of the 61 seats One Nation was contesting, the exceptions being in Buderim, Logan, Mudgeeraba, Nicklin, Coomera, Scenic Rim, Stretton, Toohey and Thuringowa. One Nation, with a few notable exceptions, placed all ALP and LNP sitting MPs last. One Nation also made an agreement with Katter's Australia Party, not to challenge the two sitting KAP MPs in their respective seats.

Retiring MPs

[edit]

The following Members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly have announced their intention to not contest the 2017 state election:

Labor

[edit]

Liberal National Party

[edit]

Independent

[edit]

Opinion polling

[edit]
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2017 Queensland state election

Several research, media and polling firms conduct opinion polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the state election in relation to voting. Most firms use the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate preferences.

Primary vote opinion polling graph

[edit]

Two-party preferred opinion polling graph

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

Voting intention

[edit]
Legislative Assembly polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
LNP ALP Green ON Other ALP LNP
25 November 2017 Galaxy (Exit Poll)[60] 35% 37% 9% 13% 6% 52% 48%
21–24 November 2017 Newspoll[61] 34% 36% 10% 13% 7% 52.5% 47.5%
24 November 2017 Galaxy[62] 35% 37% 9% 12% 7% 52% 48%
20 November 2017 ReachTEL[63] 30% 34% 10% 17% 9% 51% 49%
13 November 2017 ReachTEL[64] 30.8% 30.4% 8.1% 16.4% – 48% 52%
1–2 November 2017 Galaxy[65] 32% 35% 9% 18% 6% 52% 48%
17 October 2017 Newspoll[66] 34% 37% 8% 16% 5% 52% 48%
28 September 2017 ReachTEL[67] 30.6% 32.1% 7.5% 18.1% 7.7% 48% 52%
July–Sep 2017 Newspoll[68] 34% 37% 8% 15% 6% 53% 47%
2–3 August 2017 Galaxy[69] 36% 35% 7% 15% 7% 51% 49%
June 2017 ReachTEL[70] 35.3% 31.9% 9.4% 17% 6.4% 49% 51%
26–27 April 2017 Galaxy[71] 34% 36% 7% 17% 6% 52% 48%
February 2017 ReachTEL[72] 33.2% 30.9% 7% 21.3% 7.6% 47% 53%
February 2017 Galaxy[72] 33% 31% 8% 23% 5% 51% 49%
November 2016 Galaxy[73] 37% 35% 8% 16% 4% 51% 49%
October 2016 Roy Morgan[74] 33.5% 35.5% 12% 10.5% 8.5% 52% 48%
August 2016 Roy Morgan[75] 38.5% 36.5% 9.5% 8.5% 7% 50% 50%
May–June 2016 Newspoll[76] 40% 38% – – – 51% 49%
May 2016 Morgan[77] 40.5% 35.5% 10.5% – 13.5% 50% 50%
10–11 May 2016 Galaxy[78] 44% 36% 9% – 11% 48% 52%
26 April 2016 ReachTEL[79] 42.8% 36.9% 10.8% – 9.5% 48% 52%
March 2016 Roy Morgan[80] 40% 37.5% 12.5% – 9.5% 52% 48%
10–11 February 2016 Galaxy[81] 43% 37% 9% – 11% 48% 52%
Jan–Feb 2016 Roy Morgan[82] 45.5% 36.5% 9% – 9% 48% 52%
December 2015 Newspoll[83] 39% 41% 8% – 12% 52% 48%
17–18 November 2015 Galaxy[81] 37% 42% 9% – 12% 49% 51%
16 October 2015 Morgan[84] 42% 34.5% 11.5% – 12% 49% 51%
Sep 2015 Newspoll[85] 38% 41% 9% – 12% 53% 47%
28–31 Aug 2015 Morgan[86] 41.5% 38.5% 12% – 8% 52% 48%
19–20 Aug 2015 Galaxy[87] 39% 40% 10% – 11% 52% 48%
19–21 Jun 2015 Morgan[88] 42% 39.5% 9.5% – 9% 51.5% 48.5%
22–24 May 2015 Morgan[89] 44% 34% 11% – 11% 48% 52%
22 May 2015 ReachTEL[90] 45.6% 37.6% 9.4% – 7.4% 48% 52%
19–20 May 2015 Galaxy[91] 39% 40% 9% – 12% 52% 47%
10–12 Apr 2015 Morgan[92] 40.5% 40% 9.5% – 10% 52.5% 47.5%
8–9 Apr 2015 Galaxy[91] 42% 39% 7% – 12% 50% 50%
31 January 2015 election 41.3% 37.5% 8.4% 0.9% 12.8% 51.1% 48.9%
26–29 Jan 2015 Newspoll[93] 41% 37% 6% – 14% 48% 52%
9–26 Jan 2015 Essential[94] 39% 38% 7% – 16% 50% 50%
16–18 Jan 2015 Morgan[95] 39.5% 37% 10% – 13.5% 49.5% 50.5%

Leadership polling

[edit]
Better Premier/approval polling
Date Firm Better Premier Palaszczuk Nicholls
Palaszczuk Nicholls Undecided Satisfied Dissatisfied Undecided Satisfied Dissatisfied Undecided
4 Nov 2017 Galaxy[96] 43% 29% 28% 41% 42% 17% 28% 40% 32%
2-3 Aug 2017 Galaxy[97] Not asked 39% 44% 17% Not asked
15 May 2016 Galaxy[98] 44% 29% 27% Not asked

Electoral district polling

[edit]
Date Firm Electorate Voting intention 2cp vote Poll result
LNP ALP GRN KAP ONP OTH ALP LNP ONP
18 Nov 2017 Newspoll[99] Bundaberg 37% 33% 9% — 21% 5% 47% 53% — LNP gain
18 Nov 2017 Newspoll[100] Gaven 50% 43% 7% — — — 49% 51% — LNP hold
18 Nov 2017 Newspoll[101] Ipswich West 17% 45% 9% — 29% — 57% — 43% Labor hold
18 Nov 2017 Newspoll[102] Mansfield 37% 40% 7% — 16% — 52% 48% — Labor hold
18 Nov 2017 Newspoll[103] Thuringowa 21% 29% 6% 12% 28% 4% 46% — 54% One Nation gain
18 Nov 2017 Newspoll[104] Whitsunday 31% 32% 7% 7% 19% 4% 51% 49% — Labor gain
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[105] Bonney 45% 39% 9% — — — 50% 50% — Tied
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[106] Cairns 32% 37% 7% — 13% 11% 54% 46% — Labor hold
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[107] Glass House 33% 27% 16% — 22% — 50% 50% — Tied
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[108] Hervey Bay 38% 31% 4% — 22% — 45% 55% — LNP hold
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[109] Logan 20% 35% 7% — 33% — 52% — 48% Labor hold
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[110] Mundingburra 30% 29% 6% 12% 20% — 48% 52% — LNP gain
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[111] Rockhampton 23% 33% 9% — 21% 14% 58% 42% — Labor hold
11 Nov 2017 Galaxy[112] South Brisbane 29% 38% 29% — — — — — — —

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Queensland Premier calls snap election". news.com.au. 29 October 2017. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
  2. ^ "Queensland Premier Palaszczuk calls snap election". SBS. 30 October 2017. Retrieved 3 November 2017.
  3. ^ "Billy Gordon: Queensland Labor thrown into turmoil after Cook MP admits to undisclosed criminal history". ABC News. 29 March 2015.
  4. ^ "Rob Pyne quits Queensland Labor Party; Palaszczuk Government now even with LNP at 42 seats". ABC News. 7 March 2016. Retrieved 7 March 2016.
  5. ^ "Labor to win Queensland election with 48 seats: Green". ABC News. 26 November 2017. Retrieved 26 November 2017.
  6. ^ "Labor claims 47th seat in Qld election: Courier Mail 6 December 2017". Retrieved 8 April 2023.
  7. ^ Caldwell, Felicity (6 December 2017). "Labor hits magic 47 seats it needs for a majority". The Age. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
  8. ^ a b "Qld Election 2017". ABC Elections. Retrieved 9 December 2017.
  9. ^ "2017 Queensland Election Results". ABC Elections. 8 December 2017.
  10. ^ "Queensland election: LNP's Tim Nicholls concedes defeat". ABC News. 8 December 2017.
  11. ^ "Queensland election: Labor's Annastacia Palaszczuk claims victory with 48 seats". ABC News. 8 December 2017.
  12. ^ "It is now 100 per cent official - Queensland has a government". Brisbane Times. 12 December 2017.
  13. ^ "2015 Election Results Summary". Electoral Commission of Queensland. Retrieved 15 February 2015.
  14. ^ Vogler, Sarah; Wardill, Steven (28 October 2017). "Queensland election 2017: MP dramas trigger early poll". The Sunday Mail. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
  15. ^ "Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk to call November 25 election". The Weekend Australian. 28 October 2017. Retrieved 28 October 2017.
  16. ^ "As it happened: Queensland Premier calls November 25 state election". ABC News. Brisbane. 29 October 2017. Retrieved 29 October 2017.
  17. ^ "Queensland Election 2017: Premier visits Nanna before Government House". Courier Mail. 29 October 2017. Retrieved 29 October 2017.
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