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2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election

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2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election
← 2018 June 23, 2020 November 2020 →
New York's 27th congressional district
 
Nominee Chris Jacobs Nate McMurray
Party Republican Democratic
Alliance Independence Working Families
Popular vote 81,085 72,998
Percentage 51.8% 46.6%
County results
Jacobs:      50–60%      60–70%
McMurray:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Chris Collins
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Jacobs
Republican

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A special election was held to fill the remainder of the term in the United States House of Representatives for New York's 27th congressional district in the 116th United States Congress. Incumbent Republican Representative Chris Collins resigned from the House effective October 1, 2019, following his guilty plea to federal insider trading charges.[1] The election was originally scheduled for April 28, 2020, but was postponed until June 23, 2020, due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[2]

Candidates

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Former Grand Island town supervisor and 2018 Democratic congressional nominee Nathan D. McMurray was expected to be the nominee after being endorsed by the Erie County Democratic Party.[3] Fellow Democrat Melodie Baker announced her interest in seeking the nomination, but quickly withdrew when her campaign failed to gain interest.[4] McMurray was formally nominated on February 13, 2020.[5]

On January 25, 2020, the Republican chairs of the eight counties that make up the 27th congressional district met in Wyoming County and voted to endorse state senator Chris Jacobs for the special election.[6]

On February 1, 2020, the Conservative Party of New York State announced that it would not endorse a candidate in the anticipated special election and would instead leave its party line blank. The Party's preferred candidate was Beth Parlato.[7]

Accountant Duane Whitmer was endorsed by the Libertarian Party.[8][9]

Republican Party

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Endorsee

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Withdrawn

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Declined to run

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Endorsements

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Chris Jacobs

Executive officials

Democratic Party

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Endorsee

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  • Nate McMurray, former Grand Island supervisor and nominee for New York's 27th congressional district in 2018[16][5]

Withdrawn

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  • Melodie Baker, former director of education for the United Way of Buffalo and small business owner[17]

Declined to run

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Libertarian Party

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Endorsee

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Green Party

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Endorsee

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General election

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Debate

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McMurray and Jacobs participated in a debate on June 9, in which McMurray criticized Jacobs for not standing up to Trump's actions, in particular, Trump's claim that a 75-year-old man injured by police in Buffalo could be an "ANTIFA provocateur". McMurray also accused Jacobs of trying to buy the position, lying, and not supporting the Black Lives Matter movement. He emphasized his continued positive impact on communities in the area, positioning himself as an alternative to former Republican representatives Chris Collins and Chris Lee, both of whom resigned due to scandals. Jacobs criticized McMurray for supporting big government and abortion, which he saw as a poor fit for the conservative values of the district.[23]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R April 24, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R April 23, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Likely R April 23, 2020
Politico[27] Likely R April 19, 2020

Results

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2020 New York's 27th congressional district special election[28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Chris Jacobs 74,944 47.85% +7.65%
Independence Chris Jacobs 6,141 3.92% +3.22%
Total Chris Jacobs 81,085 51.77% +2.67%
Democratic Nathan McMurray 68,684 43.85% −1.15%
Working Families Nathan McMurray 4,314 2.75% −0.05%
Total Nathan McMurray 72,998 46.60% −2.20%
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 1,500 0.96% N/A
Green Michael Gammariello 1,045 0.67% N/A
Total votes 156,628 100.0% N/A
Subtotal results
Part of Erie County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 34,489 45.67
Independence Chris Jacobs 3,421 4.53
Total Chris Jacobs 37,910 50.20
Democratic Nathan McMurray 34,404 45.56
Working Families Nathan McMurray 2,088 2.76
Total Nathan McMurray 36,492 48.32
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 630 0.83
Green Michael Gammariello 488 0.65
Total votes 75,520 100
Genesee County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 5,784 56.67
Independence Chris Jacobs 344 3.37
Total Chris Jacobs 6,128 60.04
Democratic Nathan McMurray 3,600 35.27
Working Families Nathan McMurray 249 2.44
Total Nathan McMurray 3,849 37.71
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 159 1.56
Green Michael Gammariello 71 0.70
Total votes 10,207 100
Livingston County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 5,157 48.61
Independence Chris Jacobs 374 3.52
Total Chris Jacobs 5,531 52.13
Democratic Nathan McMurray 4,529 42.69
Working Families Nathan McMurray 348 3.28
Total Nathan McMurray 4,877 45.97
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 133 1.25
Green Michael Gammariello 69 .65
Total votes 10,610 100
Part of Monroe County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 2,134 42.10
Independence Chris Jacobs 126 2.49
Total Chris Jacobs 2,260 44.58
Democratic Nathan McMurray 2,596 51.21
Working Families Nathan McMurray 132 2.60
Total Nathan McMurray 2,728 53.82
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 54 1.07
Green Michael Gammariello 27 .53
Total votes 5,069 100
Part of Niagara County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 13,230 49.62
Independence Chris Jacobs 909 3.41
Total Chris Jacobs 14,139 53.02
Democratic Nathan McMurray 11,482 43.06
Working Families Nathan McMurray 644 2.42
Total Nathan McMurray 12,126 45.48
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 228 0.86
Green Michael Gammariello 172 0.65
Total votes 26,665 100
Part of Ontario County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 5,684 39.86
Independence Chris Jacobs 280 1.96
Total Chris Jacobs 5,964 41.82
Democratic Nathan McMurray 7,743 54.30
Working Families Nathan McMurray 318 2.23
Total Nathan McMurray 8,061 56.53
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 130 0.91
Green Michael Gammariello 105 0.74
Total votes 14,260 100
Orleans County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 3,929 62.01
Independence Chris Jacobs 162 2.56
Total Chris Jacobs 4,091 64.57
Democratic Nathan McMurray 2,004 31.63
Working Families Nathan McMurray 130 2.05
Total Nathan McMurray 2,134 33.68
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 73 1.15
Green Michael Gammariello 38 .60
Total votes 6,336 100
Wyoming County Subtotal
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Jacobs 4,537 56.99
Independence Chris Jacobs 525 6.59
Total Chris Jacobs 5,062 63.58
Democratic Nathan McMurray 2,326 29.22
Working Families Nathan McMurray 405 5.09
Total Nathan McMurray 2,731 34.30
Libertarian Duane Whitmer 93 1.17
Green Michael Gammariello 75 0.94
Total votes 7,961 100

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Brown, Stephen Rex (September 30, 2019). "Upstate NY Rep. Chris Collins resigns seat as guilty plea looms in insider trading scam". nydailynews.com. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
  2. ^ Bowman, Bridget (March 28, 2020). "New York delays presidential primary, special election to June". Roll Call. Retrieved March 28, 2020.
  3. ^ "McMurray appears to wrap up Democratic nomination for NY-27". December 19, 2019.
  4. ^ "Democrat Melodie Baker withdraws from NY-27 race; won't run for State Senate". December 20, 2019.
  5. ^ a b "Democrats officially back candidate for NY27 Special Election". WKBW. February 14, 2020. Retrieved June 21, 2020.
  6. ^ "After marathon meeting, GOP chairs back Chris Jacobs for NY-27th seat". January 25, 2020.
  7. ^ "Conservatives choose not to endorse special election candidate for vacant NY 27 seat". February 2, 2020.
  8. ^ Rivers, Tom (January 28, 2020). "Libertarian candidate also in the running for NY-27". Retrieved January 28, 2020.
  9. ^ a b Horvatits, Chris (February 17, 2020). "Whitmer nominated to appear on Libertarian line for 27th district special election". WIVB-TV. Retrieved February 17, 2020.
  10. ^ Mccarthy, Robert J. (January 25, 2020). "GOP chairs endorse Chris Jacobs for 27th District Congressional seat". The Buffalo News. Retrieved January 26, 2020.
  11. ^ Hoffman, Connor (August 17, 2019). "Ortt announces campaign for Congressional seat". Niagara Gazette.
  12. ^ McCarthy, Robert J. (November 18, 2019). "For GOP candidates in NY-27, 'conservative' seems downright wishy-washy". The Buffalo News. Archived from the original on November 20, 2019. Retrieved November 24, 2019.
  13. ^ Touhey, Ali (October 20, 2019). "Medal of Honor Recipient David Bellavia isn't running for Congress". WKBW - ABC Buffalo. Retrieved October 20, 2019.
  14. ^ Mccarthy, Robert J. (January 17, 2020). "Assemblyman Steve Hawley will not seek GOP nod in NY-27". The Buffalo News. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  15. ^ Trump, Donald J. (February 18, 2020). "Chris Jacobs will be a great Congressman who will always fight for the people of New York. He supports our #MAGA Agenda, will continue to Secure Our Border, Loves our Military, Vets, and is Strong on the #2A. Chris has my Complete Endorsement for the Special Election on 4/28!". Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  16. ^ Goshgarian, Mark (October 1, 2019). "McMurray: "Tidal Wave" of Support for Congressional Bid After Collins Resignation". Spectrum Local News. Retrieved October 20, 2019.
  17. ^ Radlich, Jane Kwiatkowski (December 20, 2019). "Democrat Melodie Baker withdraws from NY-27 race; won't run for State Senate". Buffalo News. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  18. ^ Mackie, Kyle (October 2, 2019). "Governor Cuomo: Hochul Could Win Collins' Congressional Seat". WSKG. Archived from the original on October 3, 2019. Retrieved October 2, 2019.
  19. ^ Zremski, Jerry (July 16, 2019). "Chris Collins lends campaign $500,000, signaling a possible run". The Buffalo News. Retrieved September 30, 2019.
  20. ^ Zangas, John (February 24, 2020). "Antifascist Comedian Mike Gamms Gets New York Green Party Nod for NY27 Congressional Race". DCMediaGroup. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  21. ^ "2020 Candidates". Green Party of New York. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  22. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on February 25, 2020. Retrieved February 25, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  23. ^ "Jacobs, McMurray spar in debate for NY-27, drawing clear differences | Orleans Hub". Retrieved June 11, 2020.
  24. ^ Wasserman, David. "Collins Resignation Moves NY-27 to Solid Republican".
  25. ^ Askarinam, Leah (August 26, 2019). "Wisconsin 7: Duffy's Seat Remains Solid Republican for Now | News & Analysis | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales.
  26. ^ Kondik, Kyle (August 29, 2019). "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » Notes on the State of Politics". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on November 30, 2019. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  27. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  28. ^ "June 23, 2020 Special Election NY-27 Certified Results" (PDF). New York State Board of Elections. Retrieved September 9, 2020.
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Official campaign websites

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